Experts release projected stats for Bills-Chiefs NFL Week 11 blockbuster; Dalton Kincaid’s injury status emerges as focal point

Ahead of this Sunday’s AFC Playoff rematch between Josh Allen’s Buffalo Bills and Patrick Mahomes’ Kansas City Chiefs, the analysts at Dimers have unveiled their projected player stats, which could have significant implications for NFL prop bettors. With updated odds provided by Caesars Sportsbook, bettors and fans can gain insights into likely player performances, including new projections that reflect recent injuries and team adjustments.
On Thursday, we reported on Buffalo’s injury concerns heading into NFL Week 11, specifically focusing on tight end Dalton Kincaid’s knee injury, sustained during the Bills’ recent game against the Indianapolis Colts. Kincaid’s uncertain status has pushed attention onto “backup” Dawson Knox, a proven tight end who could see more field time and targets if Kincaid is sidelined. These circumstances shape both Kincaid’s projected stats and related prop bets, adding intrigue to the Sunday matchup.
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These projected stats are based on 10,000 simulations of the Bills vs. Chiefs matchup, conducted by the experts at Dimers.com.
Josh Allen
James Cook
Josh Allen
Ray Davis
Amari Cooper
Khalil Shakir
Dalton Kincaid (Questionable to play)
Curtis Samuel
James Cook
Patrick Mahomes
Kareem Hunt
Patrick Mahomes
Carson Steele
Travis Kelce
DeAndre Hopkins
Xavier Worthy
Noah Gray
Juju Smith-Schuster
These projections suggest strong performances from key players like Josh Allen and Kareem Hunt, but with Kincaid’s questionable status, bettors may want to factor in the potential for increased targets to other Bills receivers, especially Dawson Knox and Khalil Shakir. Similarly, new reports on the likely absence of Isiah Pacheco from the Chiefs’ Week 11 backfield indicate a likely boost in production from current Kansas City RB Kareem Hunt.
In addition to Dimers’ projections, updated NFL prop odds and promos from Caesars Sportsbook offer insights into where to find value in the NFL betting landscape for Sunday’s showdown:
With Dalton Kincaid’s status in flux, the betting focus may shift toward other Bills’ receivers. Caesars’ prop odds on receiving yards and touchdowns could see movement if Kincaid is officially ruled out, increasing Dawson Knox’s potential impact. Khalil Shakir, who stepped up in previous games, may also offer value in receiving yard bets.
Dimers’ projected stats provide additional guidance on player performances, offering a data-driven outlook to help bettors make informed decisions. With both teams eager for a win, this highly anticipated rematch promises excitement and significant betting interest.
Bettors should monitor updates on Kincaid’s injury and consider how his availability—or lack thereof—might influence the game’s dynamics and their wagering strategy.